January 18, 2008
RVs, Bananas and Recession-Proofing the Law Firm
It seems every year there are those who get in front of the press and claim that there is a looming recession that is about to envelop the country and if there is no action, the depths of it will surpass our worst fears.
- Housing starts are down 24% from a year ago. The median sales price of existing single-family homes has been falling all year, according to the National Association of Realtors. A person's home is the largest single asset and the source of a sense of prosperity for most Americans.
- The value of the dollar is near an all-time low [ ]. The dollar is worth the same as the Canadian Loonie currency.
- The price of oil spiked at $100 per barrel on January 2 and has settled at an exorbitant $92 per barrel.
- The US trade deficit widened sharply by 9.3% in November to a larger-than-expected $63.1 billion. The trade deficit has widened to its highest level in more than a year.
- The "credit crunch" means that investment capital is difficult to obtain. Banks and investors become wary of lending funds to corporations, thereby driving up the price of debt products for borrowers. Citigroup, the nation's biggest bank, announced a stunning $10 billion fourth-quarter loss. The Kuwait Investment Authority — a foreign country — is expected to bail out Merrill Lynch with a $4 billion investment.
- The cost of the war in Iraq over the past five years is now approaching a cumulative $500 billion, or about $100 billion per year on average.
With the 300 points the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost Thursday, we may be doing more than just talking ourselves into a recession. Tensions are certainly high. Jim Blasingame from the Memphis Commercial Appeal, however, has a remedy: Don't participate in the recession. Some of his ideas include eliminating operational inefficiencies, cutting costs, converting non-performing assets to cash, and pay more attention to receivables.
Rather than tightening their belts, the aggressive firms apparently sensed opportunity and chose to invest in [SG&A, R&D and advertising] in hopes of a longer-run payoff, whereas during flush times they focused on operational efficiencies. In other words—although they always invested more than their peers in R&D—their strategy was to sacrifice short-term profits in bad times for the sake of longer-term advantage: And to more than make up the sacrifice when good times returned.
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Filed under Expense Control, Management, Policies/ Procedures by Brian J. Ritchey

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